Sunday 18 October 2009

Ahead of the data release

If we see substantially deeper available liquidity on the Bid side of the market, this tells us that major price providers in the market are looking to buy the CHF against the US Dollar. Considering that close to 60% of all FX market volume is cleared through just six top banks, we see it prudent to be on the same side of the trade as major institutions and will favor a bullish bias on USDCHF ahead of the data release.
Bearish Scenario:If we see substantially deeper available liquidity on the Offer side of the market, this tells us that major price providers in the market are looking to sell the CHF against the US Dollar. Considering that close to 60% of all FX market volume is cleared through just six top banks, we see it prudent to be on the same side of the trade as major institutions and will favor a bearish bias on USDCHF ahead of the data release.

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